房地产市场周期

美国房地产周期特点
十八年一个周期
1818, 1836, 1854, 1888, 1908, 1926 and 1944.
峰巅之后是四年低谷
二次大战打破模式
1955 年恢复周期
1989年达到下一个峰巅，1991年跌入谷底
2006 是最新高峰 （17年自1989年后）
2010或2011年市场将触底
下一个高峰2024，将具有巨大的潜力

Erection index
The Erection Index is an economic index
Markets crash at the time the plans for the tallest building are announced or soon after.
This is likely related to the large amount of money available for commerce at business cycle peaks.

The Singer Building, completed in 1908, and the Metropolitan Life Building, completed in 1909, - Panic of 1907.
40 Wall Street, the Chrysler Building, and the Empire State Building were all built between 1929 and 1931 and the Metropolitan Life North Building was left incomplete at 29 of 100 planned floors in 1933, all near the start of the
Great Depression which went from 1929 until the late 1930s.
The twin towers of the New York City World Trade Center were completed between 1972 and 1974 and the Sears Tower was completed in 1973, both in time for the recession that followed the 1973 Oil Crisis.
The Petrons Twin Towers were completed 1998 in time for the Asian Financial crisis which started in late 1997.

The Shanghai World Financial Center is completed on 2007, Burj Dubai : the world\'s tallest building build from 2004 to 2009, contributed to the recent world wide recession.

请注意，2010 & 2011 是底，2024是下一个高峰。你能抓住机会么？