S&P 500 1%+ Drops to Start October |
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Date |
% Chg |
Rest of Oct (%) |
Rest of Year (%) |
Next Year (%) |
Pos in Current Trend |
Pos in Shiller PE Ratio |
Critical High |
Critical Low |
L/H (%) |
H/L (%) |
10/1/1931 |
(1.85) |
9.44 |
(14.80) |
(12.00) |
5th Bot of 7 Down-Waves |
before Major Bottom |
1929-09: 31.92 |
1932-07: 4.43 |
(86.12) |
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10/2/1933 |
(1.03) |
(6.86) |
3.64 |
(18.50) |
2nd Bot of 6 Up-Waves |
1st Cor. after Major Bottom |
1937-03: 18.68 |
1942-04: 7.55 |
(59.58) |
321.67 |
10/1/1934 |
(2.75) |
(0.23) |
7.59 |
57.14 |
3rd Bot of 6 Up-Waves |
1st Cor. after Major Bottom |
1946-05: 19.18 |
1949-06: 13.81 |
(28.00) |
154.04 |
10/3/1955 |
(2.70) |
(0.35) |
7.04 |
(0.02) |
Major Cor. at Top of Long Up |
1st Cor. after Major Bottom |
1956-07: 49.64 |
1957-12: 39.48 |
(20.47) |
259.45 |
10/1/1956 |
(1.43) |
1.97 |
4.41 |
(6.75) |
Major Cor. at Top of Long Up |
before Major Cor. |
1961-12: 72.01 |
1962-06: 52.68 |
(26.84) |
82.40 |
10/1/1962 |
(1.39) |
1.86 |
13.71 |
16.37 |
1nd Bot of Up-Waves |
last Cor. before Major Top |
1966-02: 93.81 |
1966-10: 73.20 |
(21.97) |
78.08 |
10/3/1966 |
(2.17) |
7.08 |
7.25 |
6.50 |
Major Cor. In Mid of Long Up |
after Major Top |
1968-11: 108.37 |
1970-05: 72.25 |
(33.33) |
48.05 |
10/1/1975 |
(1.12) |
7.37 |
8.75 |
1.16 |
1st Bot of Long Up |
last Cor. before Major Bottom |
1973-01: 120.71 |
1974-09: 62.34 |
(48.36) |
67.07 |
10/1/1976 |
(1.02) |
(1.22) |
3.16 |
(12.53) |
2nd Bot of Long Up |
last Cor. before Major Bottom |
1980-11: 140.52 |
1982-08: 103.71 |
(26.20) |
125.41 |
10/1/1998 |
(3.01) |
11.38 |
24.62 |
13.05 |
Major Cor. before Top of Long Up |
before Major Top |
1987-08: 335.90 |
1987-11: 223.92 |
(33.34) |
223.88 |
10/1/2009 |
(2.56) |
0.62 |
8.28 |
11.05 |
1st Bot of Long Up |
after Major Bottom |
2000-03: 1527.46 |
2002-09: 800.58 |
(47.59) |
582.15 |
10/3/2011 |
(2.85) |
14.02 |
14.41 |
15.20 |
2nd Bot of Long Up |
1st Cor. after Major Bottom |
2007-10: 1561.8 |
2009-03: 683.38 |
(56.24) |
95.08 |
10/1/2014 |
(1.32) |
3.69 |
5.79 |
(6.00) |
Mid Cor. In Long Up |
last Cor. before Major Top |
2019-07: 3025.86 |
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#VALUE! |
342.78 |
10/1/2019 |
(1.19) |
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after Major Top |
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H/L (%) =100*(RIGHT(H4, LEN(H4)-9)/RIGHT(I3, LEN(I3)-9) - 1)