正文

我的投资策略

(2009-11-20 11:57:14) 下一个
俺这是抛砖引玉,欢迎大家各抒己见。
Investment Strategies When We are in Inflation or Deflation economy


Deflation: A decrease in the general level of prices for goods and services
in an economy over a period of time.
Inflation: A rise in the general level of prices of goods and services in an
economy over a period of time.

What do we worry more in the current situation? Deflation or Inflation?
How does this impact our investment strategy?

In deflation, in my opinion, you can see price drop in goods so you enjoy the buy. Don't be pleased
so much, because you have more burden on your mortgage and loans. You may see the
following happen:

* Spending falls
* Price drops
* Salary decreases
* Goods are manufactured less

In inflation, in my opinion, you can see price increase so you have less purchasing power. But, you
enjoy a debt decrease. Inflation world is the current what we have lived for so many
years, except you lived in Japan in the last 15 years.

It's government monetary and budge policies to mitigate the deflation or inflation risks.
In an inflation economy, government can choose some policies that favor to raise taxes,
increase interest rates, decrease services. Or simply printing money to pay off the debts
to fix the current issues. How about the long term impact after printing so much money?
My answer is "who cares for now". The politician cares more on staying re-elected rather
than fixing issues for his successor.

What is your personal investment strategy in these two different economy? In an inflation
economy, palpably you should not keep cash because the money will lose value. You should
go hard assets, such as gold, oil, commodity, real estate, etc. On the contrary, in a
deflation economy, you are in advantage if you hold cash.

Pay attention to the economic statistics data so you stay tuned on the economy world if
you care your money. Of course you do, don't you?


[ 打印 ]
阅读 ()评论 (9)
评论
首席聊天师 回复 悄悄话 嗯嗯, 果然高深!

ladybug2009 回复 悄悄话 才哥可别做墙头,要不然给偶的媛妹妹踩在脚下啦...
艾粉 回复 悄悄话 啥也看不懂,重新讲一遍。用西班牙语就行了。~~~
稀泥 回复 悄悄话 希望能跟小媛一样,做墙头草,顺势而为。趋势的力量很大滴
LiYouCai 回复 悄悄话 我会选择做墙头。go hedgehog, bro!
:D
LiYouCai 回复 悄悄话 地板!
啥也看不懂,重新讲一遍。用英语就行了。~~~
小媛 回复 悄悄话 我会选择做墙头草。go hedge, bro!
:D
潇洒走红尘 回复 悄悄话 板凳!
啥也看不懂,重新讲一遍。用德语就行了。~~~
五弟五哥 回复 悄悄话 沙发!
啥也看不懂,重新讲一便。用法语就行了。
登录后才可评论.