正文
GOOGLE TRANSLATION
Primary Basic Skills ---- stock watch
First, space, time, momentum
Read the tape, make use of space, time, momentum three elements.
(A) of the resistance and support - the space in two ways.
Index chart is both long and short proof of the balance of forces, when the multi-power is stronger, go up, when the short power of strength, to the decline, it is so simple. Like a man mountain climbing and skiing. When climbing obstacles affecting the intensity up, skiing, resistance will not go so smooth, the stock market will evolve resistance and support.
Resistance: short power Sheng, long power where weak natural resistance, in practice, because of public expectations of consistency, the following areas will be significant resistance often ：
1. If the day before the closing index opened below the previous close, then climb in to the process of resistance in this encounter. This is because, after thinking through the night, long and short sides reached a consensus on the previous close, opened the day when a large number of investors participating auction closing level Yi Qian, if the opening is low, indicating that in a mood to sell. Rebound in the index process, on the one hand will be selling at any time was a new blow to the other, close to the pre-closing, the morning will play a role in the accumulation of selling, so long, but this gate more easily.
2. After the opening day of this opening, if lower, due to the accumulation in the opening price when bidding a lot of selling office, which will bounce back here in time, will encounter significant resistance.
3. MA location short run in the 5th line, 10 lines were particularly valued technical school, where once the index to climb, there will be decisive embrace technology, short-term sell-off, Guer resistance, it is very natural form.
4. Previous high of the previous intraday record high of the reason why is because there are obviously selling the backlog here, when the index fell again in this Difficult rise, the once close to the previous high point, there will be new for air forces to intervene, while bulls will become cautious. Therefore, in the chart on the formation of a clear M will be the first form, and most of the time right below the left side of the high points will be the high point.
5. Previous low of the previous low of the formation due to long and short sides of the balance, that the strong buyer power, this low when the index is gradually lost support, there will be considerable for air to join the ranks of selling to lead to broader market plunge, shaped like diving, for diving time is too short, settling in here under the no transaction is selling, so when the index rebounded to encounter resistance at this time.
6. Integer crossing the psychological effect as people, some integer constant will be increased when the location of an important resistance, such as 660,680,700,800,1000 points, and so, in the stock price on, such as 9.8 yuan, 10 yuan, 20 yuan mark and so on. In particular, some individual stocks often accumulate a large number of integer mark sell orders.
Of course, there are other resistance areas, but mainly it 6.
Identify a resistance zone is intended to sell at the highest point or the second highest point, the resistance generally can be ascertained before the sale area. If short-term expert generally not sold in 10.00, and prefer to 9.99 or 9.98 yuan in sales reported to increase in sales. Or, when the index fell from a height, after the second close to the Times, sell high.
Support: do not go places or shall support common support area the following categories ：
1. If today opened higher after the opening bell, down to the opening price in the office, because of buying more precipitation, support will be strong. The similar reason with resistance.
2. Before the close if the index (or stock) fall from a height, front office support is also strong closing.
3. MA location mainly on the 5th line, 10 lines.
4. Previous low of the last form of low areas will generally become the psychological support and resistance areas of their argument is the same.
5. Previous high of the previous high resistance to large, once the effective cross, because of accumulation of buying under the more so when another fall, generally supported.
6. Integer crossings such as the index fell 700 points, 600 points, the natural cause for reluctant sellers, not easy to break 600 points, the share price fell from a height will be 10 per office support.
Ascertain support for the low area to buy.
As can be seen from the above analysis, support and resistance is a contradiction that can be transformed into each other, the resistance of the original breakthrough in turn can become a support, the support of the original breakthrough in turn can also be a drag.
Grasp on the support and resistance also contributes to a large city judged. For example, when crossed resistance zone, said the market is even stronger, to buy or sell; when below the support zone, said the market is weak, you can sell or buy.
(B) the time effect
1. Opening the qualitative nature of the first to confirm opening. Relative to the previous close, if it is to open higher, indicating strong popularity, the psychological rush chips more potential there is for the better city. But if too many high-opened, so that those who bought the day before yesterday profitable, it may lead to heavy profit-taking pressure. If the high open or only a few points about the popularity that calm, long and short sides no mood to go on fighting. If the lower opening, it means that profits or losses of flesh were eager to wait, so the situation has deteriorated city possible.
If the bottom of the suddenly high-opened, and the steep increases in the strength is often a fundamental reversal of both long and short time, therefore, constitute a purchase Jiancang but retreated when the opportunity. Conversely, if the tide is rising substantially Gaps occurred more often is a symbol of multi-power last eruption, indicating that the bull market had come to an end, but rather constitutes a shipping opportunities. Similarly, opened sharply lower in the bottom of hysteria is often short of a strike, but constitutes a bottom opportunities, a lower opening in the top of the popularity is that lax, Jie Yu rushed out to escape, but also market potential to see weakness. Although subsequent rebound, but the basic sharp drops in on. In the middle of the market up or down the high way to open or to open lower, the general trend of the means to continue the original, which opened promising high-rise, low fall open bearish.
2. Opening 30 minutes after the arrival of long to eat well, opening will often wait to rush into a short position to complete the distribution, will be deliberately pulled up, creating a rapid spikes after opening, this is a strong common market . In the weak market, long to eat cheap, that is down will drop at the open, while the short frightened, also desperate to sell, resulting in the rapid decline after the opening bell. Therefore, the first 10 minutes after opening the market to judge the performance of the market contribute to the nature of the right.
The reason why both long and short attention after opening the first 10 minutes, because this time the small number of investors involved in the transaction, intraday trading volume is not great, so much the amount that can be used to achieve the intended purpose, commonly known as spend less, gain big.
The second is the long and short sides 10 minutes into the break period of time, the general trend will be to amend the original, such as air-side forced too fast, long will organize counter, bargain-hunting site would be large-scale intervention; such as multi-attack too hard , will be short counter, disk will actively taking profits. Therefore, this time is to buy or sell a turning point.
10 minutes in the third person involved in the transaction because of an increasing number of orders has become more concrete, less false components, so the credibility of a larger trend of this period is basically the foundation for the day to .
In order to correctly grasp the trend of characteristics that can be opened as a starting point to the first index for moving points 10,20,30 minutes together into three segments, where bread contains information on the future direction of the day.
a. If it is on first and then after the next (that rose and then fell further up), then the more likely a good day market trends, Japan K line may receive Yang Xian. Because it shows that long is strong. If the line 30 minutes before the rise indicates strong bull trend, the better the market outlook is very likely, the probability of greater than 90% of the income Yang Xian, retreated a position in opportunity.
Specifically, if the second drop rate is very small, not less than the opening value, the market should be more optimistic. If the third set up a new high, and the prices even more optimistic that day will generally rose small recovery Yang Xian.
If starting up a second drop below the point (opening), then that bear excessive pressure adjustment stressful day, once ascribed weak, there will be setback only be supported at the bottom, will have a strong rebound But generally less likely to close the day at the highest point.
If the second drop below the opening, and the third rise was higher than before the high point, it indicates that relatively large differences between long and short, that day will be more shocks, but it is likely to Yangxian barrel.
If the second drop Even though I did lower opening, but the third high rise Quemo, especially followed by a relatively strong drop, it indicates both the long and short-face relatively weak when the long day\'s pull-back will last for a long time to close the highest point possible, and sometimes even turn into another following the first on the next trend, and then take the light and close the Yin Xian.
b. If it is before you get on it, the market is that day more likely to go short, especially if before you get under it all, it is very powerful forces that bear the same day constitute shipments rebound opportunities, investors likely to decline. If a higher opening, closing more than 90% probability of Yinxian.
Specifically, if the third fell a record low, compared to the typical short features, the day of the general weak rebound. Head formation in the medium to long term, often similar form.
If the second up a new high, and the third did not fall to new lows, while still containing forces that long, have ascribed the day of opportunity, late may not receive the minimum.
If the second high rise Even though I did, but the third fell powerless to new lows, and followed up, as shown in Figure 5-7, indicates that the pressure is great short, long is still quite a lot that day will first ascribed After the fall, but will not receive the minimum.
If the second high rise, and the third fell another new low, it indicates that there will be more shock that day, but may be received late in the lower position.
c. If it is on first then on again, the strong force is that long, but bear great pressure, the same day if received support at the bottom, up opportunity is still large.
But fell below the third opening, the forces that bear too strong that day would be more deep-bottom, this bottom is generally caused due to profit taking. If the third fell weak, even lower than the first rise, then the day long is strong, the general market was up a small recycling Yang Xian.
d. If the first under the next then again, the strong force is that short, but there are counter-spare long day if the high pressure slightly, and take a greater chance of light, especially if weak and a third up, features would be more obvious.
If a third higher than the opening, then pulled shipping market are generally the day after the correction in the high, steep decline may occur.
e. If it is on first then the next and then the next, then that opened up after the trap is empty, that day more likely to go short.
f. If the first then on again on the next, then that is a long opening down after the performance of profit-taking, that day may still take a good market.
3. Noon before the close of the movement is at noon before the close of the two sides compete for long and short. Closed at noon because of the time, investors have more time to review before the City to, determining the development of the market outlook, and more impulsive than cool or make their own investment decisions, the main big opportunity before the close of regular use to make good for their movement to lure taken in middle and small retail investors. In general, after the market opened before the close of the movement should be together, not in isolation.
If the market the morning of high order, before the close of the day set up, the one show that the strong buyer power, the general trend likely to continue to improve, on the other hand that the main force may want to create a false impression for the better, to take the opportunity to ship. How do we judge it? If the former, then after opening the afternoon should be impulsive buying approach, that trend should be quickly shot up, then down there are still a good chance to, you can take the opportunity to buy, if the latter, then the index may not, after opening at fixed even slowly back, namely, to cover shipping main deliberately pushed the start.
If the trend of continuous decline without a rebound, and rebound it is urgent, the main trend of decline has not tried often to make a false impression, in the morning before the close of deliberately suppressed, so that the lowest reported income. After opening at noon, after reflection determined to liquidate the people forced to sell less, so index still plunge, the result often is the last one down, or when selling a relatively small, therefore, the main force pulled up to eat without fear to more chips, it will cause the second time down, but the volume at this time usually begins to shrink, so that this fall is the best opportunity Jiancang.
If the trend on the rise or fall flat on his way, then before the close of the general trend of guiding significance. That if the market is in an uptrend when the afternoon close at the high point of popularity that booming market for the better; the other hand, if the market is in decline when the afternoon to close at low, indicating that low popularity, market to the light. If the rally when the afternoon to close at low, or decline when the afternoon close at the high points, mostly false, can not change its original trend.
4. Late effect late in time, is generally considered to last 15 minutes, in fact, both long and short from the last 45 minutes had already begun secretly fight. If from the last 45 minutes to 35 minutes time up, then the general trend will last up to an end. Because the number of people involved in the transaction at this time most clear when the rally, there will be endless influx of buying pushed indices. Conversely, if the last 45 minutes to 35 minutes this time, the decrease generally difficult to take a good Yao City.
Especially in the last 30 minutes of great reference value to the broader market at this time if the process of rebound in the fall after U-turn down, late losing streak will be 30 minutes, highly lethal.
This effect can also be used late afternoon before the close of the movement\'s analysis. That there are from noon to close 15 to 20 minutes before the time trend also has guiding role, can refer to analysis of late effects. In actual operation, when discovered late in the day to take the light should be actively selling to avoid the next day to open lower; when discovered late in the good, the next day may be adequate to meet the high positions open.
5. The duration and intensity of how long a trend also has guiding significance. T +0 under the bull (for example, 8 September 1994) and the bear market, generally every 7 minutes index reveals that the direction switch to a speculative market in the long-short high intensity of the fighting. T +1, after which continued a trend in Shanghai Stock Market is the longest 50 minutes. Duration mainly reflects the strength of various long and short sides, concrete expression changes in the volume, when investors prepared to enter the market, the best Choice Trend last 10 to 15 minutes to enter because of the frequency change in trend means that trading tends to increase active involvement is often a sign of big money, so out calmly, profit opportunities are bigger.
(C) the momentum - to read the tape to read the tape core is the core of real-time up and down the momentum. The so-called momentum, essentially is momentum, rising strongly, that means strong selling to buy enough so strong market potential; down strongly, that are determined to sell enough to buy gas, so the weak market trend.
So, how do determine the size of momentum? The key is fancy or tilt under the oblique angle. As shown, when the angle of elevation up and down when the angle of depression α1 α2 point which represented the moment when the up or down size. α1 larger the stronger the intention to buy, when α1> 60 degrees, generally belong to a super-strong; when α1 is 45 degrees, the count remained stable; α1 <30 degrees, are unable to up-type, generally followed from the strong decline. α2 greater, indicating greater selling pressure in the bubble and α2 constant 80 degrees; and α2 <30 degrees, generally decreased fatigue, resulting likelihood of a strong rebound.
In the actual trend, it can be according to the continuity of the trend to predict future trends, which in operation invincible.
1. Down the signs of the market running process, often many of the features that fall is about to begin. As a short-term operation, should strive to be sold before the fall starts.
2. Sign up in practice, whether up or down is very fast, once the signs of a breakthrough in advance Sharu (or popped), and so often after the break was too late.
3. The day to judge the strength of other words, we have ups and downs in the previously mentioned sign of both can be applied to determine the trend for a long time, the difference is merely the starting point and end point should be amplified. Analytical skills to grasp this, then even the Japanese lines were analyzed weekly.
初级基本技巧----盯盘
来源: 粉肠仔 于 06-09-23 06:07:07 [档案] [博客] [旧帖] [转至博客] [给我悄悄话]
一、空间、时间、动量?
? 看盘时，要掌握空间、时间、动量三要素。?
? （一）阻力与支撑——空间的两种表现形式。
? 指数走势图是多空双方力量对比的明证，当多方力量强时，向上走， 当空头力量强时，向下降，就这样简单。好比一个人爬山与滑雪。爬 山时会遇到障碍，影响向上的力度，滑雪时也会遇到阻力以至于滑不 下去，股市中便演化为阻力和支撑。?
? 阻力:空头力量盛、多头力量弱的地方自然形成阻力，实践中，因大 众预期的一致性，下列区域常会成为明显的阻力：?
? 1.前收盘若当日指数开盘低于前收盘，那麽，在向上爬的过程中会在 此遇到阻力。这是因为经过一夜思考之後，多空双方对前收盘达成了 共识，当日开盘时会有大量股民以前收盘价位参与竞价交易，若指数 低开，表明卖意甚浓。在指数反弹过程中，一方面会随时遭到新抛盘 的打击，另一方面在接近前收盘时，早晨积累的卖盘会发生作用，使 得多头轻易越不过此道关。?
? 2.今开盘若当日开盘後走低，因竞价时积累在开盘价处大量卖盘，因 而将来在反弹回此处时，会遇到明显阻力。?
? 3.均线位置短线运行中的5日线、10日线被技术派格外看重，一旦指 数爬升至此处，会有信奉技术的短线客果断抛售，故而阻力形成便十 分自然。?
? 4.前次高点盘中前次之所以创下高点，是因为此处有明显的卖盘积压， 当指数在此遇阻回落又再次回升时，一旦接近前次高点，会有新的作 空力量介入，同时多头也会变得小心谨慎。因此，在走势图上便形成 了明显的M头形态，而且多数时间右边的高点会低于左边的高点。?
? 5.前次低点前次低点的形成缘于多空双方的均衡，表明买方力量强劲， 而当指数在此低点渐渐失去支撑时，会有相当多的作空人加入抛售行 列，从而导致大盘急泻，状如跳水，因“跳水”时间过于短促，会在 此处沉淀下未成交的卖盘，故当指数反弹至此时会遇到阻力。?
? 6.整数关口由于人们的心理作用，一些整数位置常会成为上升时的重 要阻力，如660、680、700、800、1000点等，在个股价位上，像9.8 元、10元、20元大关等等。特别是一些个股的整数关口常会积累大量 卖单。?
? 当然，还有其它的阻力区，但主要是这6种。?
? 判明阻力区的目的是为了卖在最高点或次高点，一般可以在判明的阻 力区之前卖出。如短线高手一般不会在10.00元卖出，而宁可在9.99 或9.98元报卖，以增加成交机会。或者，当指数从高处滑落後，在第 二次接近此高点时报卖。?
? 支撑:跌不下去的地方即为支撑，常见支撑区有以下几类：?
? 1.今日开盘若开盘後走高，则在回落至开盘价处时，因买盘沉淀较多， 支撑便较强。道理与阻力区相似。?
? 2.前收盘若指数(或股价)从高处回落，在前收盘处的支撑也较强。?
? 3.均线位置主要是5日线、10日线等。?
? 4.前次低点上次形成的低点区一般会成为人们的心理支撑，其道理也 与阻力区相同。?
? 5.前次高点前次高点阻力较大,一旦有效越过,因积淀下的买盘较多， 因此当再次回落时，一般会得到支撑。?
? 6.整数关口如指数从700点跌至600点时，自然引起人们惜售，破600 点也不易，股价从高处跌到10元处也会得到支撑。?
? 判明支撑是为了争取在低位区买进。?
? 由上述分析可以看出，支撑与阻力是一对可以互相转化的矛盾，原先 的阻力突破後反过来可以成为支撑，原有的支撑突破後反过来也可以 成为阻力。?
? 对支撑与阻力的把握也有助于对大市的研判。如当冲过阻力区时，表 示市道甚强，可买进或卖出；当跌破支撑区时，表示市道很弱，可以 卖出或不买进。?
? （二）时间效应?
? 1.开盘定性首先要确认开盘的性质.相对于前收盘而 言,若高开,说明人气旺盛,抢筹码的心理较多，市势有向好的一面。 但如果高开过多，使前日买入者获利丰厚，则容易造成过重的获利回 吐压力。如果高开不多或仅一个点左右，则表明人气平静，多空双方 暂无恋战情绪。如果低开，则表明获利回吐心切或亏损割肉者迫不及 待，故市势有转坏的可能。?
? 如果在底部突然高开，且幅度较大，常是多空双方力量发生根本性逆 转的时候，因此，回档时反而构成进货建仓良机。反之，若在大势已 上涨较多时发生大幅跳空，常是多方力量最後喷发的象征，表明牛市 已走到了尽头，反而构成出货机会。同样，在底部的大幅低开常是空 头歇斯底里的一击，反而构成见底机会，而在顶部的低开则证明人气 涣散，皆欲争先逃出，也是市势看弱的表现。其後虽有反弹，但基本 上一路下泻。而在大市上升中途或下降中途的高开或低开，一般有继 续原有趋势的意味，即上升时高开看好，下跌时低开看淡。?
? 2.开盘後30分钟多头为了顺利吃到货，开盘後会常会迫不及待地抢进， 而空头为了完成派发，也会故意拉高，于是造成开盘後的急速冲高， 这是强势市场中常见的。而在弱势市场中，多头为了吃到便宜货，会 在开盘时即向下砸，而空头胆战心惊，也会不顾一切地抛售，造成开 盘後的急速下跌。因此开盘後前10分钟的市场表现有助于正确地判断 市场性质。?
? 多空双方之所以重视开盘後的第一个10分钟,是因为此时参与交易的 股民人数不多，盘中买卖量都不是很大，因此用不大的量即可以达到 预期的目的，俗称“花钱少，收获大”。?
? 第二个10分钟则是多空双方进入休整阶段的时间，一般会对原有趋势 进行修正，如空方逼得太猛，多头会组织反击，抄底盘会大举介入； 如多方攻得太猛，空头也会予以反击，获利盘会积极回吐。因此，这 段时间是买入或卖出的一个转折点。?
? 第三个10分钟里因参与交易的人越来越多,买卖盘变得较实在，虚假 的成分较少，因此可信度较大，这段时间的走势基本上为全天走向奠 定了基础。?
? 为了正确把握走势特点，可以开盘为起点，以第10、20、30分钟指数 为移动点连成三条线段，这里面包含有一天的未来走势信息。?
? a.如果是先上後下再上（即先涨後跌又涨），则当天行情趋好的可能 性较大，日K线可能收阳线。因为它表明多头势力较强。若前30分钟 直线上涨，则表明多头势强，後市向好的可能性很大，收阳线概率大 于90%，回档是建仓良机。?
??具体来说，若第二个下跌幅度很小，不低于开盘值，则行情应较乐观 。若第三个上涨创下新高，行情就更乐观了，当天一般会大涨小回收 阳线。?
? 若第二个下跌低于起涨点（开盘），则表明空头压力过大，当天的调 整压力较大，一旦冲高无力，会出现急挫，只有在底部得到支撑，才 会有较强反弹，但当天一般不太可能收在最高点。?
? 若第二个下跌低于开盘，而第三个上涨又高于前高点，则表明多空分 歧比较大，当天震荡会较大，但最终仍可能以阳线报收。?
? 若第二个下跌虽没低于开盘，但第三个上涨却没创新高，特别是随後 出现了较为有力的下跌，则说明在多空双方正面交锋时多头相对较弱， 当天的回档会持续较长时间，收盘不可能为最高点，有时甚至会演化 为“先上後下又下”走势，进而走淡并收出阴线。?
? b.如果是先下後上又下，则当天行情走淡的可能性较大，特别如果是 先下後下又下，则表明空头力量十分强大，当天的反弹均构成出货机 会，後市下跌的可能性较大。若开盘较高，收阴线的概率超过90%。?
? 具体来说，若第三个下跌创下新低，则为典型的空头特征，当天的反 弹一般较弱。在中长期头部形成时，常出现类似形式。?
? 若第二个上涨创下新高，第三个下跌不创新低，则表明多头势力仍较 盛，当天有冲高机会，尾盘可能不收在最低。?
? 若第二个上涨虽没创新高，但第三个下跌无力创新低，且随後出现上 涨，如图5-7所示，则表明空头压力虽大，多头仍不可小视，当天会 先冲高後回落，但不会收在最低。?
? 若第二个上涨创新高，第三个下跌又创新低，则表明当天会有较大震 荡，但尾盘可能收在较低位置。?
? c.如果是先上又上再下，则表明多头势力较强，但空头压力也大，当 天如果在底部得到支撑，向上的机会仍较大。?
? 但若第三个下跌低于开盘，则表明空头力量过于强大，当天探底会比 较深，这种探底一般是由于获利回吐所致。若第三个下跌较弱，甚至 不低于第一个上涨，则当天多头势力较强，一般是大涨小回收阳线。?
? d.如果先下又下再上，则表明空头势力较强，但多头尚有反击余力， 当天若高位压力略强，走淡机会较大，尤其是第三个上涨若软弱无力， 特征会更明显。?
? 若第三个上涨超过了开盘，则一般属于拉高出货的行情，当天在高位 盘整後，可能出现急跌。?
? e.如果是先上又下再下，则表明开盘後的向上是空头陷阱，当天走淡 的可能性较大。?
? f.如果是先下又上再上，则表明开盘後的向下是多头获利回吐的表现， 当天行情仍可能走好。?
? 3.中午收市前中午收市前的走势也是多空双方必争的。因为中午停市 这段时间，投资者有了充裕的时间检讨前市走向，研判後市发展，并 较冷静或较冲动地做出自己的投资决策，因此主力大户常利用收市前 的机会做出有利于自己的走势来，引诱广大中小散户上当。一般来说， 收市前与开市後的走势应综合起来看，而不能孤立对待。?
? 如果大市上午在高位整理，收市前创下全天最高，则一方面表明买方 力量较强，大势可能继续向好，另一方面则表明主力可能想造成向好 的假象，以借机出货。怎样判断呢？若是前者，则下午开盘後应有冲 动性买盘进场，即大势应快速冲高，则回落後仍有向好机会，可以借 机买入，如果是後者，则下午开盘後指数可能根本不动，甚至缓缓回 头，即为主力故意拉高以掩护出货的开始。?
? 如果大势连绵下跌无反弹，而反弹又迫在眉睫，则主力常做出大势跌 势未尽的假象，在上午收市前刻意打压，使之以最低报收。下午开盘 後，中午经过思考下定决心斩仓的人会迫不及地卖出，故指数仍有急 泻，结果这往往是最後一跌，或者因此时卖压相对较少，主力唯恐拉 高时吃不到更多的筹码，所以还会造成第二次下跌，但此时成交量常 开始萎缩，于是，此次下跌便是最佳的建仓良机。?
? 如果大势平平处于上升或下跌途中，则收市前的走势一般具有指导意 义。即若大市处于升势时午收于高点，表明人气旺盛，市道向好；反 之若大市处于跌势时午收于低点，表明人气低，市道向淡。若升势时 午收于低点，或跌势时午收于高点，多半是假象，改变不了其本来走 势。?
? 4.尾盘效应尾盘在时间上一般认为是最後15分钟，实际上从最後45分 钟多空双方即已开始暗暗较量了。若从最後45分钟到35分钟这段时间 上涨，则最後的走势一般会以上涨而告终。因为此时参与交易的人数 最多，当涨势明确时，会有层出不穷的买盘涌进推高指数。反之，若 最後45分钟到35分钟这段时间下跌,则尾市一般难以走好。?
? 特别是到了最後30分钟大盘的走向极具参考意义,此时若在下跌过程 中出现反弹後又调头向下，尾盘将可能连跌30分钟,杀伤力极大。?
? 这一尾盘效应也可以用于对中午收市前走势的研判。即离中午收市前 还有15~20分钟时的走势也具有指导作用，可以参照尾盘效应来分析 。在具体操作上，当发现当日尾盘将走淡时，应积极沽售，以回避次 日低开；当发现尾盘向好时，则可适量持仓以迎接次日高开。?
? 5.持续的时间与力度某一趋势持续多久也具有指导意义。T+0下的牛 市(如1994年8~9月)和熊市，一般每隔7分钟指数即转一次方向显现出 高投机市场中多空双方交战的激烈程度。而T+1之後沪市某种趋势持 续的最长时间是50分钟。持续时间的长短主要反映了多空双方的力量 不同，具体表现在成交量的变化上，当投资者准备入市时，最好选择 趋势持续时间在10~15分钟时进入，因为趋势改变的频率增加意味著 交易趋于活跃，常是有大资金介入的迹象，因此进出从容，获利机会 也大些。?
? （三）动量－－看盘的核心即时看盘的核心是上涨和下跌的动量。所 谓动量，实质上也就是“劲头”，上涨有力，表明买意旺盛卖压不足， 故市势强；下跌有力，表明卖意坚决买气不足，故市势弱。?
? 那麽，怎样判别动量大小呢？关键是看上倾或下斜的角度。如图所示， 上涨时的仰角α1和下跌时的俯角α2的角度大小即代表上涨或下跌时 的动量大小。α1越大,说明买意越强,当α1>60度时，一般就属于超 强势了；而当α1为45度时,算走势平稳;α1<30度时，属无力上涨型， 一般紧随而来的是有力的下跌。α2越大，说明卖压越大，在暴跌时 α2常达到80度以上；而α2<30度时，一般为下跌乏力，随之可能出 现有力反弹。?
? 在实际走势中，可以根据走势的连续性来预测未来的走势，从而在操 作中立于不败之地。?
? 1.下跌的征兆大市在运行过程中,常有许多特征表示下跌即将开始。 作为短线操作，应争取在下跌启动前卖出。?
? 2.上涨的征兆在实践中， 无论上涨还是下跌都是极快的，一旦出现突破征兆应提前杀入（或杀 出），等突破发生後往往已经来不及了。
? 3.全天强弱的判断换言之，我们在前面所提到的涨跌预兆均可以应用 到对于较长时间走势的判断，所不同者只是要把起点与终点进行放大 。把握了这种分析技巧，则甚至可以对日线、周线进行分析了。
Primary Basic Skills ---- stock watch
First, space, time, momentum
Read the tape, make use of space, time, momentum three elements.
(A) of the resistance and support - the space in two ways.
Index chart is both long and short proof of the balance of forces, when the multi-power is stronger, go up, when the short power of strength, to the decline, it is so simple. Like a man mountain climbing and skiing. When climbing obstacles affecting the intensity up, skiing, resistance will not go so smooth, the stock market will evolve resistance and support.
Resistance: short power Sheng, long power where weak natural resistance, in practice, because of public expectations of consistency, the following areas will be significant resistance often ：
1. If the day before the closing index opened below the previous close, then climb in to the process of resistance in this encounter. This is because, after thinking through the night, long and short sides reached a consensus on the previous close, opened the day when a large number of investors participating auction closing level Yi Qian, if the opening is low, indicating that in a mood to sell. Rebound in the index process, on the one hand will be selling at any time was a new blow to the other, close to the pre-closing, the morning will play a role in the accumulation of selling, so long, but this gate more easily.
2. After the opening day of this opening, if lower, due to the accumulation in the opening price when bidding a lot of selling office, which will bounce back here in time, will encounter significant resistance.
3. MA location short run in the 5th line, 10 lines were particularly valued technical school, where once the index to climb, there will be decisive embrace technology, short-term sell-off, Guer resistance, it is very natural form.
4. Previous high of the previous intraday record high of the reason why is because there are obviously selling the backlog here, when the index fell again in this Difficult rise, the once close to the previous high point, there will be new for air forces to intervene, while bulls will become cautious. Therefore, in the chart on the formation of a clear M will be the first form, and most of the time right below the left side of the high points will be the high point.
5. Previous low of the previous low of the formation due to long and short sides of the balance, that the strong buyer power, this low when the index is gradually lost support, there will be considerable for air to join the ranks of selling to lead to broader market plunge, shaped like diving, for diving time is too short, settling in here under the no transaction is selling, so when the index rebounded to encounter resistance at this time.
6. Integer crossing the psychological effect as people, some integer constant will be increased when the location of an important resistance, such as 660,680,700,800,1000 points, and so, in the stock price on, such as 9.8 yuan, 10 yuan, 20 yuan mark and so on. In particular, some individual stocks often accumulate a large number of integer mark sell orders.
Of course, there are other resistance areas, but mainly it 6.
Identify a resistance zone is intended to sell at the highest point or the second highest point, the resistance generally can be ascertained before the sale area. If short-term expert generally not sold in 10.00, and prefer to 9.99 or 9.98 yuan in sales reported to increase in sales. Or, when the index fell from a height, after the second close to the Times, sell high.
Support: do not go places or shall support common support area the following categories ：
1. If today opened higher after the opening bell, down to the opening price in the office, because of buying more precipitation, support will be strong. The similar reason with resistance.
2. Before the close if the index (or stock) fall from a height, front office support is also strong closing.
3. MA location mainly on the 5th line, 10 lines.
4. Previous low of the last form of low areas will generally become the psychological support and resistance areas of their argument is the same.
5. Previous high of the previous high resistance to large, once the effective cross, because of accumulation of buying under the more so when another fall, generally supported.
6. Integer crossings such as the index fell 700 points, 600 points, the natural cause for reluctant sellers, not easy to break 600 points, the share price fell from a height will be 10 per office support.
Ascertain support for the low area to buy.
As can be seen from the above analysis, support and resistance is a contradiction that can be transformed into each other, the resistance of the original breakthrough in turn can become a support, the support of the original breakthrough in turn can also be a drag.
Grasp on the support and resistance also contributes to a large city judged. For example, when crossed resistance zone, said the market is even stronger, to buy or sell; when below the support zone, said the market is weak, you can sell or buy.
(B) the time effect
1. Opening the qualitative nature of the first to confirm opening. Relative to the previous close, if it is to open higher, indicating strong popularity, the psychological rush chips more potential there is for the better city. But if too many high-opened, so that those who bought the day before yesterday profitable, it may lead to heavy profit-taking pressure. If the high open or only a few points about the popularity that calm, long and short sides no mood to go on fighting. If the lower opening, it means that profits or losses of flesh were eager to wait, so the situation has deteriorated city possible.
If the bottom of the suddenly high-opened, and the steep increases in the strength is often a fundamental reversal of both long and short time, therefore, constitute a purchase Jiancang but retreated when the opportunity. Conversely, if the tide is rising substantially Gaps occurred more often is a symbol of multi-power last eruption, indicating that the bull market had come to an end, but rather constitutes a shipping opportunities. Similarly, opened sharply lower in the bottom of hysteria is often short of a strike, but constitutes a bottom opportunities, a lower opening in the top of the popularity is that lax, Jie Yu rushed out to escape, but also market potential to see weakness. Although subsequent rebound, but the basic sharp drops in on. In the middle of the market up or down the high way to open or to open lower, the general trend of the means to continue the original, which opened promising high-rise, low fall open bearish.
2. Opening 30 minutes after the arrival of long to eat well, opening will often wait to rush into a short position to complete the distribution, will be deliberately pulled up, creating a rapid spikes after opening, this is a strong common market . In the weak market, long to eat cheap, that is down will drop at the open, while the short frightened, also desperate to sell, resulting in the rapid decline after the opening bell. Therefore, the first 10 minutes after opening the market to judge the performance of the market contribute to the nature of the right.
The reason why both long and short attention after opening the first 10 minutes, because this time the small number of investors involved in the transaction, intraday trading volume is not great, so much the amount that can be used to achieve the intended purpose, commonly known as spend less, gain big.
The second is the long and short sides 10 minutes into the break period of time, the general trend will be to amend the original, such as air-side forced too fast, long will organize counter, bargain-hunting site would be large-scale intervention; such as multi-attack too hard , will be short counter, disk will actively taking profits. Therefore, this time is to buy or sell a turning point.
10 minutes in the third person involved in the transaction because of an increasing number of orders has become more concrete, less false components, so the credibility of a larger trend of this period is basically the foundation for the day to .
In order to correctly grasp the trend of characteristics that can be opened as a starting point to the first index for moving points 10,20,30 minutes together into three segments, where bread contains information on the future direction of the day.
a. If it is on first and then after the next (that rose and then fell further up), then the more likely a good day market trends, Japan K line may receive Yang Xian. Because it shows that long is strong. If the line 30 minutes before the rise indicates strong bull trend, the better the market outlook is very likely, the probability of greater than 90% of the income Yang Xian, retreated a position in opportunity.
Specifically, if the second drop rate is very small, not less than the opening value, the market should be more optimistic. If the third set up a new high, and the prices even more optimistic that day will generally rose small recovery Yang Xian.
If starting up a second drop below the point (opening), then that bear excessive pressure adjustment stressful day, once ascribed weak, there will be setback only be supported at the bottom, will have a strong rebound But generally less likely to close the day at the highest point.
If the second drop below the opening, and the third rise was higher than before the high point, it indicates that relatively large differences between long and short, that day will be more shocks, but it is likely to Yangxian barrel.
If the second drop Even though I did lower opening, but the third high rise Quemo, especially followed by a relatively strong drop, it indicates both the long and short-face relatively weak when the long day\'s pull-back will last for a long time to close the highest point possible, and sometimes even turn into another following the first on the next trend, and then take the light and close the Yin Xian.
b. If it is before you get on it, the market is that day more likely to go short, especially if before you get under it all, it is very powerful forces that bear the same day constitute shipments rebound opportunities, investors likely to decline. If a higher opening, closing more than 90% probability of Yinxian.
Specifically, if the third fell a record low, compared to the typical short features, the day of the general weak rebound. Head formation in the medium to long term, often similar form.
If the second up a new high, and the third did not fall to new lows, while still containing forces that long, have ascribed the day of opportunity, late may not receive the minimum.
If the second high rise Even though I did, but the third fell powerless to new lows, and followed up, as shown in Figure 5-7, indicates that the pressure is great short, long is still quite a lot that day will first ascribed After the fall, but will not receive the minimum.
If the second high rise, and the third fell another new low, it indicates that there will be more shock that day, but may be received late in the lower position.
c. If it is on first then on again, the strong force is that long, but bear great pressure, the same day if received support at the bottom, up opportunity is still large.
But fell below the third opening, the forces that bear too strong that day would be more deep-bottom, this bottom is generally caused due to profit taking. If the third fell weak, even lower than the first rise, then the day long is strong, the general market was up a small recycling Yang Xian.
d. If the first under the next then again, the strong force is that short, but there are counter-spare long day if the high pressure slightly, and take a greater chance of light, especially if weak and a third up, features would be more obvious.
If a third higher than the opening, then pulled shipping market are generally the day after the correction in the high, steep decline may occur.
e. If it is on first then the next and then the next, then that opened up after the trap is empty, that day more likely to go short.
f. If the first then on again on the next, then that is a long opening down after the performance of profit-taking, that day may still take a good market.
3. Noon before the close of the movement is at noon before the close of the two sides compete for long and short. Closed at noon because of the time, investors have more time to review before the City to, determining the development of the market outlook, and more impulsive than cool or make their own investment decisions, the main big opportunity before the close of regular use to make good for their movement to lure taken in middle and small retail investors. In general, after the market opened before the close of the movement should be together, not in isolation.
If the market the morning of high order, before the close of the day set up, the one show that the strong buyer power, the general trend likely to continue to improve, on the other hand that the main force may want to create a false impression for the better, to take the opportunity to ship. How do we judge it? If the former, then after opening the afternoon should be impulsive buying approach, that trend should be quickly shot up, then down there are still a good chance to, you can take the opportunity to buy, if the latter, then the index may not, after opening at fixed even slowly back, namely, to cover shipping main deliberately pushed the start.
If the trend of continuous decline without a rebound, and rebound it is urgent, the main trend of decline has not tried often to make a false impression, in the morning before the close of deliberately suppressed, so that the lowest reported income. After opening at noon, after reflection determined to liquidate the people forced to sell less, so index still plunge, the result often is the last one down, or when selling a relatively small, therefore, the main force pulled up to eat without fear to more chips, it will cause the second time down, but the volume at this time usually begins to shrink, so that this fall is the best opportunity Jiancang.
If the trend on the rise or fall flat on his way, then before the close of the general trend of guiding significance. That if the market is in an uptrend when the afternoon close at the high point of popularity that booming market for the better; the other hand, if the market is in decline when the afternoon to close at low, indicating that low popularity, market to the light. If the rally when the afternoon to close at low, or decline when the afternoon close at the high points, mostly false, can not change its original trend.
4. Late effect late in time, is generally considered to last 15 minutes, in fact, both long and short from the last 45 minutes had already begun secretly fight. If from the last 45 minutes to 35 minutes time up, then the general trend will last up to an end. Because the number of people involved in the transaction at this time most clear when the rally, there will be endless influx of buying pushed indices. Conversely, if the last 45 minutes to 35 minutes this time, the decrease generally difficult to take a good Yao City.
Especially in the last 30 minutes of great reference value to the broader market at this time if the process of rebound in the fall after U-turn down, late losing streak will be 30 minutes, highly lethal.
This effect can also be used late afternoon before the close of the movement\'s analysis. That there are from noon to close 15 to 20 minutes before the time trend also has guiding role, can refer to analysis of late effects. In actual operation, when discovered late in the day to take the light should be actively selling to avoid the next day to open lower; when discovered late in the good, the next day may be adequate to meet the high positions open.
5. The duration and intensity of how long a trend also has guiding significance. T +0 under the bull (for example, 8 September 1994) and the bear market, generally every 7 minutes index reveals that the direction switch to a speculative market in the long-short high intensity of the fighting. T +1, after which continued a trend in Shanghai Stock Market is the longest 50 minutes. Duration mainly reflects the strength of various long and short sides, concrete expression changes in the volume, when investors prepared to enter the market, the best Choice Trend last 10 to 15 minutes to enter because of the frequency change in trend means that trading tends to increase active involvement is often a sign of big money, so out calmly, profit opportunities are bigger.
(C) the momentum - to read the tape to read the tape core is the core of real-time up and down the momentum. The so-called momentum, essentially is momentum, rising strongly, that means strong selling to buy enough so strong market potential; down strongly, that are determined to sell enough to buy gas, so the weak market trend.
So, how do determine the size of momentum? The key is fancy or tilt under the oblique angle. As shown, when the angle of elevation up and down when the angle of depression α1 α2 point which represented the moment when the up or down size. α1 larger the stronger the intention to buy, when α1> 60 degrees, generally belong to a super-strong; when α1 is 45 degrees, the count remained stable; α1 <30 degrees, are unable to up-type, generally followed from the strong decline. α2 greater, indicating greater selling pressure in the bubble and α2 constant 80 degrees; and α2 <30 degrees, generally decreased fatigue, resulting likelihood of a strong rebound.
In the actual trend, it can be according to the continuity of the trend to predict future trends, which in operation invincible.
1. Down the signs of the market running process, often many of the features that fall is about to begin. As a short-term operation, should strive to be sold before the fall starts.
2. Sign up in practice, whether up or down is very fast, once the signs of a breakthrough in advance Sharu (or popped), and so often after the break was too late.
3. The day to judge the strength of other words, we have ups and downs in the previously mentioned sign of both can be applied to determine the trend for a long time, the difference is merely the starting point and end point should be amplified. Analytical skills to grasp this, then even the Japanese lines were analyzed weekly.
初级基本技巧----盯盘
来源: 粉肠仔 于 06-09-23 06:07:07 [档案] [博客] [旧帖] [转至博客] [给我悄悄话]
一、空间、时间、动量?
? 看盘时，要掌握空间、时间、动量三要素。?
? （一）阻力与支撑——空间的两种表现形式。
? 指数走势图是多空双方力量对比的明证，当多方力量强时，向上走， 当空头力量强时，向下降，就这样简单。好比一个人爬山与滑雪。爬 山时会遇到障碍，影响向上的力度，滑雪时也会遇到阻力以至于滑不 下去，股市中便演化为阻力和支撑。?
? 阻力:空头力量盛、多头力量弱的地方自然形成阻力，实践中，因大 众预期的一致性，下列区域常会成为明显的阻力：?
? 1.前收盘若当日指数开盘低于前收盘，那麽，在向上爬的过程中会在 此遇到阻力。这是因为经过一夜思考之後，多空双方对前收盘达成了 共识，当日开盘时会有大量股民以前收盘价位参与竞价交易，若指数 低开，表明卖意甚浓。在指数反弹过程中，一方面会随时遭到新抛盘 的打击，另一方面在接近前收盘时，早晨积累的卖盘会发生作用，使 得多头轻易越不过此道关。?
? 2.今开盘若当日开盘後走低，因竞价时积累在开盘价处大量卖盘，因 而将来在反弹回此处时，会遇到明显阻力。?
? 3.均线位置短线运行中的5日线、10日线被技术派格外看重，一旦指 数爬升至此处，会有信奉技术的短线客果断抛售，故而阻力形成便十 分自然。?
? 4.前次高点盘中前次之所以创下高点，是因为此处有明显的卖盘积压， 当指数在此遇阻回落又再次回升时，一旦接近前次高点，会有新的作 空力量介入，同时多头也会变得小心谨慎。因此，在走势图上便形成 了明显的M头形态，而且多数时间右边的高点会低于左边的高点。?
? 5.前次低点前次低点的形成缘于多空双方的均衡，表明买方力量强劲， 而当指数在此低点渐渐失去支撑时，会有相当多的作空人加入抛售行 列，从而导致大盘急泻，状如跳水，因“跳水”时间过于短促，会在 此处沉淀下未成交的卖盘，故当指数反弹至此时会遇到阻力。?
? 6.整数关口由于人们的心理作用，一些整数位置常会成为上升时的重 要阻力，如660、680、700、800、1000点等，在个股价位上，像9.8 元、10元、20元大关等等。特别是一些个股的整数关口常会积累大量 卖单。?
? 当然，还有其它的阻力区，但主要是这6种。?
? 判明阻力区的目的是为了卖在最高点或次高点，一般可以在判明的阻 力区之前卖出。如短线高手一般不会在10.00元卖出，而宁可在9.99 或9.98元报卖，以增加成交机会。或者，当指数从高处滑落後，在第 二次接近此高点时报卖。?
? 支撑:跌不下去的地方即为支撑，常见支撑区有以下几类：?
? 1.今日开盘若开盘後走高，则在回落至开盘价处时，因买盘沉淀较多， 支撑便较强。道理与阻力区相似。?
? 2.前收盘若指数(或股价)从高处回落，在前收盘处的支撑也较强。?
? 3.均线位置主要是5日线、10日线等。?
? 4.前次低点上次形成的低点区一般会成为人们的心理支撑，其道理也 与阻力区相同。?
? 5.前次高点前次高点阻力较大,一旦有效越过,因积淀下的买盘较多， 因此当再次回落时，一般会得到支撑。?
? 6.整数关口如指数从700点跌至600点时，自然引起人们惜售，破600 点也不易，股价从高处跌到10元处也会得到支撑。?
? 判明支撑是为了争取在低位区买进。?
? 由上述分析可以看出，支撑与阻力是一对可以互相转化的矛盾，原先 的阻力突破後反过来可以成为支撑，原有的支撑突破後反过来也可以 成为阻力。?
? 对支撑与阻力的把握也有助于对大市的研判。如当冲过阻力区时，表 示市道甚强，可买进或卖出；当跌破支撑区时，表示市道很弱，可以 卖出或不买进。?
? （二）时间效应?
? 1.开盘定性首先要确认开盘的性质.相对于前收盘而 言,若高开,说明人气旺盛,抢筹码的心理较多，市势有向好的一面。 但如果高开过多，使前日买入者获利丰厚，则容易造成过重的获利回 吐压力。如果高开不多或仅一个点左右，则表明人气平静，多空双方 暂无恋战情绪。如果低开，则表明获利回吐心切或亏损割肉者迫不及 待，故市势有转坏的可能。?
? 如果在底部突然高开，且幅度较大，常是多空双方力量发生根本性逆 转的时候，因此，回档时反而构成进货建仓良机。反之，若在大势已 上涨较多时发生大幅跳空，常是多方力量最後喷发的象征，表明牛市 已走到了尽头，反而构成出货机会。同样，在底部的大幅低开常是空 头歇斯底里的一击，反而构成见底机会，而在顶部的低开则证明人气 涣散，皆欲争先逃出，也是市势看弱的表现。其後虽有反弹，但基本 上一路下泻。而在大市上升中途或下降中途的高开或低开，一般有继 续原有趋势的意味，即上升时高开看好，下跌时低开看淡。?
? 2.开盘後30分钟多头为了顺利吃到货，开盘後会常会迫不及待地抢进， 而空头为了完成派发，也会故意拉高，于是造成开盘後的急速冲高， 这是强势市场中常见的。而在弱势市场中，多头为了吃到便宜货，会 在开盘时即向下砸，而空头胆战心惊，也会不顾一切地抛售，造成开 盘後的急速下跌。因此开盘後前10分钟的市场表现有助于正确地判断 市场性质。?
? 多空双方之所以重视开盘後的第一个10分钟,是因为此时参与交易的 股民人数不多，盘中买卖量都不是很大，因此用不大的量即可以达到 预期的目的，俗称“花钱少，收获大”。?
? 第二个10分钟则是多空双方进入休整阶段的时间，一般会对原有趋势 进行修正，如空方逼得太猛，多头会组织反击，抄底盘会大举介入； 如多方攻得太猛，空头也会予以反击，获利盘会积极回吐。因此，这 段时间是买入或卖出的一个转折点。?
? 第三个10分钟里因参与交易的人越来越多,买卖盘变得较实在，虚假 的成分较少，因此可信度较大，这段时间的走势基本上为全天走向奠 定了基础。?
? 为了正确把握走势特点，可以开盘为起点，以第10、20、30分钟指数 为移动点连成三条线段，这里面包含有一天的未来走势信息。?
? a.如果是先上後下再上（即先涨後跌又涨），则当天行情趋好的可能 性较大，日K线可能收阳线。因为它表明多头势力较强。若前30分钟 直线上涨，则表明多头势强，後市向好的可能性很大，收阳线概率大 于90%，回档是建仓良机。?
??具体来说，若第二个下跌幅度很小，不低于开盘值，则行情应较乐观 。若第三个上涨创下新高，行情就更乐观了，当天一般会大涨小回收 阳线。?
? 若第二个下跌低于起涨点（开盘），则表明空头压力过大，当天的调 整压力较大，一旦冲高无力，会出现急挫，只有在底部得到支撑，才 会有较强反弹，但当天一般不太可能收在最高点。?
? 若第二个下跌低于开盘，而第三个上涨又高于前高点，则表明多空分 歧比较大，当天震荡会较大，但最终仍可能以阳线报收。?
? 若第二个下跌虽没低于开盘，但第三个上涨却没创新高，特别是随後 出现了较为有力的下跌，则说明在多空双方正面交锋时多头相对较弱， 当天的回档会持续较长时间，收盘不可能为最高点，有时甚至会演化 为“先上後下又下”走势，进而走淡并收出阴线。?
? b.如果是先下後上又下，则当天行情走淡的可能性较大，特别如果是 先下後下又下，则表明空头力量十分强大，当天的反弹均构成出货机 会，後市下跌的可能性较大。若开盘较高，收阴线的概率超过90%。?
? 具体来说，若第三个下跌创下新低，则为典型的空头特征，当天的反 弹一般较弱。在中长期头部形成时，常出现类似形式。?
? 若第二个上涨创下新高，第三个下跌不创新低，则表明多头势力仍较 盛，当天有冲高机会，尾盘可能不收在最低。?
? 若第二个上涨虽没创新高，但第三个下跌无力创新低，且随後出现上 涨，如图5-7所示，则表明空头压力虽大，多头仍不可小视，当天会 先冲高後回落，但不会收在最低。?
? 若第二个上涨创新高，第三个下跌又创新低，则表明当天会有较大震 荡，但尾盘可能收在较低位置。?
? c.如果是先上又上再下，则表明多头势力较强，但空头压力也大，当 天如果在底部得到支撑，向上的机会仍较大。?
? 但若第三个下跌低于开盘，则表明空头力量过于强大，当天探底会比 较深，这种探底一般是由于获利回吐所致。若第三个下跌较弱，甚至 不低于第一个上涨，则当天多头势力较强，一般是大涨小回收阳线。?
? d.如果先下又下再上，则表明空头势力较强，但多头尚有反击余力， 当天若高位压力略强，走淡机会较大，尤其是第三个上涨若软弱无力， 特征会更明显。?
? 若第三个上涨超过了开盘，则一般属于拉高出货的行情，当天在高位 盘整後，可能出现急跌。?
? e.如果是先上又下再下，则表明开盘後的向上是空头陷阱，当天走淡 的可能性较大。?
? f.如果是先下又上再上，则表明开盘後的向下是多头获利回吐的表现， 当天行情仍可能走好。?
? 3.中午收市前中午收市前的走势也是多空双方必争的。因为中午停市 这段时间，投资者有了充裕的时间检讨前市走向，研判後市发展，并 较冷静或较冲动地做出自己的投资决策，因此主力大户常利用收市前 的机会做出有利于自己的走势来，引诱广大中小散户上当。一般来说， 收市前与开市後的走势应综合起来看，而不能孤立对待。?
? 如果大市上午在高位整理，收市前创下全天最高，则一方面表明买方 力量较强，大势可能继续向好，另一方面则表明主力可能想造成向好 的假象，以借机出货。怎样判断呢？若是前者，则下午开盘後应有冲 动性买盘进场，即大势应快速冲高，则回落後仍有向好机会，可以借 机买入，如果是後者，则下午开盘後指数可能根本不动，甚至缓缓回 头，即为主力故意拉高以掩护出货的开始。?
? 如果大势连绵下跌无反弹，而反弹又迫在眉睫，则主力常做出大势跌 势未尽的假象，在上午收市前刻意打压，使之以最低报收。下午开盘 後，中午经过思考下定决心斩仓的人会迫不及地卖出，故指数仍有急 泻，结果这往往是最後一跌，或者因此时卖压相对较少，主力唯恐拉 高时吃不到更多的筹码，所以还会造成第二次下跌，但此时成交量常 开始萎缩，于是，此次下跌便是最佳的建仓良机。?
? 如果大势平平处于上升或下跌途中，则收市前的走势一般具有指导意 义。即若大市处于升势时午收于高点，表明人气旺盛，市道向好；反 之若大市处于跌势时午收于低点，表明人气低，市道向淡。若升势时 午收于低点，或跌势时午收于高点，多半是假象，改变不了其本来走 势。?
? 4.尾盘效应尾盘在时间上一般认为是最後15分钟，实际上从最後45分 钟多空双方即已开始暗暗较量了。若从最後45分钟到35分钟这段时间 上涨，则最後的走势一般会以上涨而告终。因为此时参与交易的人数 最多，当涨势明确时，会有层出不穷的买盘涌进推高指数。反之，若 最後45分钟到35分钟这段时间下跌,则尾市一般难以走好。?
? 特别是到了最後30分钟大盘的走向极具参考意义,此时若在下跌过程 中出现反弹後又调头向下，尾盘将可能连跌30分钟,杀伤力极大。?
? 这一尾盘效应也可以用于对中午收市前走势的研判。即离中午收市前 还有15~20分钟时的走势也具有指导作用，可以参照尾盘效应来分析 。在具体操作上，当发现当日尾盘将走淡时，应积极沽售，以回避次 日低开；当发现尾盘向好时，则可适量持仓以迎接次日高开。?
? 5.持续的时间与力度某一趋势持续多久也具有指导意义。T+0下的牛 市(如1994年8~9月)和熊市，一般每隔7分钟指数即转一次方向显现出 高投机市场中多空双方交战的激烈程度。而T+1之後沪市某种趋势持 续的最长时间是50分钟。持续时间的长短主要反映了多空双方的力量 不同，具体表现在成交量的变化上，当投资者准备入市时，最好选择 趋势持续时间在10~15分钟时进入，因为趋势改变的频率增加意味著 交易趋于活跃，常是有大资金介入的迹象，因此进出从容，获利机会 也大些。?
? （三）动量－－看盘的核心即时看盘的核心是上涨和下跌的动量。所 谓动量，实质上也就是“劲头”，上涨有力，表明买意旺盛卖压不足， 故市势强；下跌有力，表明卖意坚决买气不足，故市势弱。?
? 那麽，怎样判别动量大小呢？关键是看上倾或下斜的角度。如图所示， 上涨时的仰角α1和下跌时的俯角α2的角度大小即代表上涨或下跌时 的动量大小。α1越大,说明买意越强,当α1>60度时，一般就属于超 强势了；而当α1为45度时,算走势平稳;α1<30度时，属无力上涨型， 一般紧随而来的是有力的下跌。α2越大，说明卖压越大，在暴跌时 α2常达到80度以上；而α2<30度时，一般为下跌乏力，随之可能出 现有力反弹。?
? 在实际走势中，可以根据走势的连续性来预测未来的走势，从而在操 作中立于不败之地。?
? 1.下跌的征兆大市在运行过程中,常有许多特征表示下跌即将开始。 作为短线操作，应争取在下跌启动前卖出。?
? 2.上涨的征兆在实践中， 无论上涨还是下跌都是极快的，一旦出现突破征兆应提前杀入（或杀 出），等突破发生後往往已经来不及了。
? 3.全天强弱的判断换言之，我们在前面所提到的涨跌预兆均可以应用 到对于较长时间走势的判断，所不同者只是要把起点与终点进行放大 。把握了这种分析技巧，则甚至可以对日线、周线进行分析了。
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