不要重复日本的悲剧
(2009-03-28 22:35:12)
下一个
日本经济出于很严重的危机,而且没有办法复苏.日本的出口经济受到全球经济衰退的影响,日本唯一发展经济的空间是扩大自己国内市场.但是日本国内市场没有办法扩大: Japan’s population is now shrinking. To boost consumption a nation needs young families: Japan does not have enough. There are now 10 million fewer Japanese age 20 or under than there were 30 years ago. The dearth of young adults and families is one reason car sales have dropped 1/3rd from their peak in the 1990s. The needs of the old also make it hard for policymakers to cut taxes to spur spending. Old, debt-ridden and scared, Japan is in quite a fix. Japan is running out of options, page 20, Businessweek, March 2, 2009, or at: http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/09_09/b4121020480652.htm
这就是下一代数量小于上一代的结果.中国的计划生育很快就会导致这样的后果.海外华人都是有了一两个孩子就不要了,是在享受父辈赐给的生命和生活,同时又在透支后代的能量.这样下去,种群就会向消亡发展,而随着种群的衰落,自己基因的未来更加惨淡.
美国是世界经济的车头,因为是唯一人口增加的发达大国(这一点还要靠移民才能达到的).在美国国内,经济发展高速的又是那些人口增长快的地方.任何地方人口减少都造成经济下降.
现在是回归传统家庭:男主外,家庭主妇带3-4个孩子的时候了.